Bump
This.
“The lesson learned out of this is that early reporting is better, even if the piece of intelligence that has arrived is not a credible piece, or cannot be verified.”
PM's Security Advisor Jody Thomas before the parliamentary committee on interference.
Thomas insisted the prime minister was not told about problems.
nationalpost.com
Thomas was arguing that a lot of info came across a lot of desks. But nobody highlighted it to a particular person as demanding a particular course of action.
All probably true. And a great way for somebody who does understand the implications of the information but doesn't wish to act, or wish others to act, to hide the information in plain sight.
But the key part, in my mind, relates to the often argued value of absorbing ALL AVAILABLE information and then making your own internal Scatter Diagram with Venn overlays to develop your own set of Possibles and Probables rather than waiting for someone else to do the distillation for you and establishing The Simple Truth, or worse, The Absolute Truth.
My opinion.
There are no Absolutes in this world. I can't speak to the next.
That is particularly true of Truth.
Truth is never Simple.
Truth is subjective
It is a matter of opinion.
It depends on the observer doing his/her/its own version of Boyd's OODA Cycle, Observe-Orient-Decide-Act-Observe.....
It depends first of all on what the observer observes.
That means that if the observer doesn't observe then the information not observed can't become part of the decision making process.
The non-existent observations don't enter into the orientation phase.
They don't enter into the creation of those Scatter Diagrams and Venn Diagrams.
They don't become part of the Probability and Possibility assessments.
Part of the page is blank.
And that will naturally skew the decision making process.
Which in turn will influence the action taken,
All of which is to say two things -
I want my government, ministers and deputy ministers, to spend more time Observing and Orienting than Deciding and Acting.
The carpenter's version is "Measure Twice. Cut Once."
And second, for all of us -
If you are going to rely on someone to filter the world for you be aware that you are relying on a person, a fallible person, just like you.
You are relying on their biases, biases that become stronger as they develop their own narrative of events, and biases that may evolve into an agenda.
Just like the rest of us.