Haha okay he is
right, but that meme just made it so much better
You aren’t wrong. BUT, I’m not so sure I’m wrong either.
Looking at Turkey, it is absolutely a regional military powerhouse. Largest fleet of F-16’s outside of USAF, and like you listed - a large military with ample kit & equipment.
If the gloves came off & things got serious, I’m sure Turkey could mount a sizeable & formidable force. But how reliable is it really?
Let’s not forget, even now, Turkey has resorted to hiring ‘local freedom fighters & militia groups’ to conduct operations along the Iraqi side of the border, supported by artillery inside Turkey.
How many of those MBT’s are modern, serviceable, and effective? And how many of them are relics?
Turkey is currently sanctioned by the US for it’s adoption of the S-300 system, and part of those sanctions is a restriction on spare parts for it’s F-16 fleet. (Along with closed doors on manufacturing parts for the F-35, among others.)
Turkey has senior military commanders & police commanders, as well as large groups of soldiers, police officers, judges, even teachers, detained on suspicion
of being loyal/supportive to someone Ergodan doesn’t like.
How much of their force doesn’t show up, abandon their posts, or disappear into Europe if they gloves do come off? How much of that force would be loyal to their leadership, if their former commanders are imprisoned on suspicions
How much support does Ergodan have in eastern Turkey, where he has (not too long ago relatively speaking) ordered airstrikes on his own villages?
Perhaps I should have worded my post differently. Turkey may be a regional powerhouse, absolutely. I don’t know how much of that force would mount up & be reliable for prolonged operations, depending on the circumstances.