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Justin Trudeau hints at boosting Canada’s military spending

Justin Trudeau hints at boosting Canada’s military spending

Canada says it will look at increasing its defence spending and tacked on 10 more Russian names to an ever growing sanctions list.

By Tonda MacCharles
Ottawa Bureau
Mon., March 7, 2022

Riga, LATVIA—On the 13th day of the brutal Russian bid to claim Ukraine as its own, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is showing up at the Latvian battle group led by Canadian soldiers, waving the Maple Leaf and a vague hint at more money for the military.

Canada has been waving the NATO flag for nearly seven years in Latvia as a bulwark against Russia’s further incursions in Eastern Europe.

Canada stepped up to lead one of NATO’s four battle groups in 2015 — part of the defensive alliance’s display of strength and solidarity with weaker member states after Russia invaded Ukraine and seized the Crimean peninsula in 2014. Trudeau arrived in the Latvian capital late Monday after meetings in the U.K. with British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and Netherlands Prime Minister Mark Rutte.

Earlier Monday, faced with a seemingly unstoppable war in Ukraine, Trudeau said he will look at increasing Canada’s defence spending. Given world events, he said there are “certainly reflections to have.”

And Canada tacked on 10 more Russian names to an ever-growing sanctions list.

The latest round of sanctions includes names Trudeau said were identified by jailed Russian opposition leader and Putin nemesis Alexei Navalny.

However, on a day when Trudeau cited the new sanctions, and Johnson touted new measures meant to expose Russian property owners in his country, Rutte admitted sanctions are not working.

Yet they all called for more concerted international efforts over the long haul, including more economic measures and more humanitarian aid, with Johnson and Rutte divided over how quickly countries need to get off Russian oil and gas.

The 10 latest names on Canada’s target list do not include Roman Abramovich — a Russian billionaire Navalny has been flagging to Canada since at least 2017. Canada appears to have sanctioned about 20 of the 35 names on Navalny’s list.

The Conservative opposition says the Liberal government is not yet exerting maximum pressure on Putin, and should do more to bolster Canadian Forces, including by finally approving the purchase of fighter jets.

Foreign affairs critic Michael Chong said in an interview that Ottawa must still sanction “additional oligarchs close to President Putin who have significant assets in Canada.”

Abramovich owns more than a quarter of the public shares in steelmaking giant Evraz, which has operations in Alberta and Saskatchewan and has supplied most of the steel for the government-owned Trans Mountain pipeline project.

Evraz’s board of directors also includes two more Russians the U.S. government identified as “oligarchs” in 2019 — Aleksandr Abramov and Aleksandr Frolov — and its Canadian operations have received significant support from the federal government.

That includes at least $27 million in emergency wage subsidies during the pandemic, as well as $7 million through a fund meant to help heavy-polluters reduce emissions that cause climate change, according to the company’s most recent annual report.

In addition to upping defence spending, the Conservatives want NORAD’s early warning system upgraded, naval shipbuilding ramped up and Arctic security bolstered.

In London, Johnson sat down with Trudeau and Rutte at the Northolt airbase. Their morning meetings had a rushed feel, with Johnson starting to usher press out before Trudeau spoke. His office said later that the British PM couldn’t squeeze the full meeting in at 10 Downing Street because Johnson’s “diary” was so busy that day. The three leaders held an afternoon news conference at 10 Downing.

But before that Trudeau met with the Queen, saying she was “insightful” and they had a “useful, for me anyway, conversation about global affairs.”

Trudeau meets with NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg Tuesday in Latvia.

The prime minister will also meet with three Baltic leaders, the prime ministers of Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia, in the Latvian capital of Riga.

The Liberals announced they would increase the 500 Canadian Forces in Latvia by another 460 troops. The Canadians are leading a multinational battle group, one of four that are part of NATO’s deployments in the region.

Another 3,400 Canadians could be deployed to the region in the months to come, on standby for NATO orders.

But Canada’s shipments of lethal aid to Ukraine were slow to come in the view of the Conservatives, and the Ukrainian Canadian community.

And suddenly Western allies are eyeing each other’s defence commitments.

At the Downing Street news conference, Rutte noted the Netherlands will increase its defence budget to close to two per cent of GDP. Germany has led the G7, and doubled its defence budget in the face of Putin’s invasion and threats. Johnson said the U.K. defence spending is about 2.4 per cent and declined to comment on Canada’s defence spending which is 1.4 per cent of GDP.

But Johnson didn’t hold back.

“What we can’t do, post the invasion of Ukraine is assume that we go back to a kind of status quo ante, a kind of new normalization in the way that we did after the … seizure of Crimea and the Donbas area,” Johnson said. “We’ve got to recognize that things have changed and that we need a new focus on security and I think that that is kind of increasingly understood by everybody.”

Trudeau stood by his British and Dutch counterparts and pledged Canada would do more.

He defended his government’s record, saying Ottawa is gradually increasing spending over the next decade by 70 per cent. Then Trudeau admitted more might be necessary.

“We also recognize that context is changing rapidly around the world and we need to make sure that women and men have certainty and our forces have all the equipment necessary to be able to stand strongly as we always have. As members of NATO. We will continue to look at what more we can do.”

The three leaders — Johnson, a conservative and Trudeau and Rutte, progressive liberals — in a joint statement said they “will continue to impose severe costs on Russia.”

Arriving for the news conference from Windsor Castle, Trudeau had to detour to enter Downing Street as loud so-called Freedom Convoy protesters bellowed from outside the gate. They carried signs marked “Tuck Frudeau” and “Free Tamara” (Lich).

Protester Jeff Wyatt who said he has no Canadian ties told the Star he came to stand up for Lich and others who were leading a “peaceful protest” worldwide against government “lies” about COVID-19 and what he called Trudeau’s “tyranny.”

Elsewhere in London, outside the Russian embassy, other protesters and passersby reflected on what they said was real tyranny — the Russian attack on Ukraine. “I think we should be as tough as possible to get this stopped, as tough as possible,” said protester Clive Martinez.
 
Amazing the things you can do if you have money.


Now if only we had stuff to sell and people willing to buy...
 
Never ascribe to conspiracy what can be explained by spontaneous order emerging from the individually applied biases of people abusing position and/or authority.

On the other hand you can't discount conspiracy completely - people do co-operate to effect change.

Where the problem arises is ascribing the conspiracy to the Commies, the Illuminati, Opus Dei or the WEF. My take is that in all of those groups, and many others, there are lots of people trying to conspire. The good news is that they are as effective as any other aspiring governments.
 
On the other hand you can't discount conspiracy completely - people do co-operate to effect change.

Where the problem arises is ascribing the conspiracy to the Commies, the Illuminati, Opus Dei or the WEF. My take is that in all of those groups, and many others, there are lots of people trying to conspire. The good news is that they are as effective as any other aspiring governments.
I think with organizations like WEF as an example, is they think they are genuinely doing good but even with great wealth and broad political and corporate access, one can still be stuck inside a "bubble" .

However, no matter how well intended or pure of motives your decisions or actions are, if you try to "slip it in" or "sneak it past" the public/masses/the population, etc, the more you you will be villified and rejected by said masses.
 
I smell an update for SSE coming shortly.
  • Rumourmill on impending UOR contracts for AD, AT and counter-drone
  • On social media, MND Anand with François-Philippe Champagne (Minister of Innovation, Science and Industry of Canada) are in Washington for 2 days in meetings with Boeing, LM, Raytheon on the military-industrial supply chain.
 
I smell an update for SSE coming shortly.
  • Rumourmill on impending UOR contracts for AD, AT and counter-drone
  • On social media, MND Anand with François-Philippe Champagne (Minister of Innovation, Science and Industry of Canada) are in Washington for 2 days in meetings with Boeing, LM, Raytheon on the military-industrial supply chain.

The odor is strong because an update was directed some time ago to be ready this spring.
 
I smell an update for SSE coming shortly.
  • Rumourmill on impending UOR contracts for AD, AT and counter-drone
Question for the field regarding the UOR's, if we use a UOR for something that there's a standing project for (AD & AT) is there any predictive value in the UOR awards as to what the result of the long term project will be? Or should they be viewed only as stop gap purchases that carry no to little weight in shaping long term decisions?
 
Ideally, the same staff work the UOR and the project, and may even put in place contracts that can later be leveraged by subsequent projects.
 
I smell an update for SSE coming shortly.
  • Rumourmill on impending UOR contracts for AD, AT and counter-drone
  • On social media, MND Anand with François-Philippe Champagne (Minister of Innovation, Science and Industry of Canada) are in Washington for 2 days in meetings with Boeing, LM, Raytheon on the military-industrial supply chain.

Which will probably all be sidelined by some scandal involving a GOFO, right? ;)
 
I honestly hope the UOR bears no resemblance to the actual project.

From various conversations I will be surprised if the UOR is filled by any common systems like NLAW, Javelin, Stinger, etc.. Simply put we can’t get a spot in the production que fast enough so we will likely be forced to go to a bespoke limited user base system in order to be able to get anything timely.

For the actual project I would want North American production, commonality with the US military and a large number of users to fund spiral development and improvements, something I don’t see being likely with our UORs.

Of course the last UOR I saw was submitted in 2017 for an Aimpoint FCS for the 84mm, contact was finally signed just before Christmas 2022 so hey maybe I am expecting faster movement on this than reasonable.
 
I smell an update for SSE coming shortly.
  • Rumourmill on impending UOR contracts for AD, AT and counter-drone
  • On social media, MND Anand with François-Philippe Champagne (Minister of Innovation, Science and Industry of Canada) are in Washington for 2 days in meetings with Boeing, LM, Raytheon on the military-industrial supply chain.

Interesting because the reports I've seen (eg Politico) make no mention of meetings with Boeing, Lockmart or Raytheon. Hope springs eternal.
 
I guess another question on the UOR side is what is the size of the force that we are equipping? The current Cdn sub unit plus in eFP, a Cdn BG or the Cdn/MN Bde construct for 2024?
Very different numbers depending.
 
Trudeau is all hat and no cattle, Canada won't get more military spending, just look at the medical assistance to provinces offered. The CAF needs new equipment and more of it and more troops and training. We could not shoot down a Chinese balloon, the balloon itself quite low tech.
Our govt. is in massive debt that created inflation that we haven't seen in decades. Personnel need pay raises due to inflation, I know what it's like to be making less $ every year due to no increases and finally a 0.5% increase that did nothing. You get what you pay for. Now is the time to be on a war footing, the world is not so friendly today and to believe the ocean will be the buffer it once was in the past is not realistic today.
 
Trudeau is all hat and no cattle, Canada won't get more military spending, just look at the medical assistance to provinces offered. The CAF needs new equipment and more of it and more troops and training. We could not shoot down a Chinese balloon, the balloon itself quite low tech.
Our govt. is in massive debt that created inflation that we haven't seen in decades. Personnel need pay raises due to inflation, I know what it's like to be making less $ every year due to no increases and finally a 0.5% increase that did nothing. You get what you pay for. Now is the time to be on a war footing, the world is not so friendly today and to believe the ocean will be the buffer it once was in the past is not realistic today.

The power of words and convening will save us!
 
I guess another question on the UOR side is what is the size of the force that we are equipping? The current Cdn sub unit plus in eFP, a Cdn BG or the Cdn/MN Bde construct for 2024?
Very different numbers depending.
From what I read on an Ottawa Citizen article that can't be quoted here I believe it said that the SHORAD and AD systems were for the eFP Latvia contingent and the counter-UAV system was for the broader Op Reassurance deployment.
 
From what I read on an Ottawa Citizen article that can't be quoted here I believe it said that the SHORAD and AD systems were for the eFP Latvia contingent and the counter-UAV system was for the broader Op Reassurance deployment.
That’s the thing, right now the eFP contingent is effectively a sub unit in terms of ATGM and 2-3 sub units for SHORAD but that does not account for the growth to a Bde with at least double the number of Cdn sub units inside of 12 months assuming we have the will to actually follow through.
So if the UOR is for the eFP contingent as of 1 yr ago when we first started talking about this in earnest, it is too small.
 
I smell an update for SSE coming shortly.
  • Rumourmill on impending UOR contracts for AD, AT and counter-drone
  • On social media, MND Anand with François-Philippe Champagne (Minister of Innovation, Science and Industry of Canada) are in Washington for 2 days in meetings with Boeing, LM, Raytheon on the military-industrial supply chain.
Yes. It was in the 2022 budget.

 
Trudeau is all hat and no cattle, Canada won't get more military spending, just look at the medical assistance to provinces offered. The CAF needs new equipment and more of it and more troops and training. We could not shoot down a Chinese balloon, the balloon itself quite low tech.
Our govt. is in massive debt that created inflation that we haven't seen in decades. Personnel need pay raises due to inflation, I know what it's like to be making less $ every year due to no increases and finally a 0.5% increase that did nothing. You get what you pay for. Now is the time to be on a war footing, the world is not so friendly today and to believe the ocean will be the buffer it once was in the past is not realistic today.

Don't worry your little heart, Trudeau will just print more money like he did for covid. After all he dosent think about monetary policy. Therefore it dosent exist. You know like Elmer Fudd didn't study gravity.
 
Don't worry your little heart, Trudeau will just print more money like he did for covid. After all he dosent think about monetary policy. Therefore it dosent exist. You know like Elmer Fudd didn't study gravity.
Besides, the chattering class say it’s not his to worry about, the Bank of Canada is a separate entity and makes the monetary policy for Canada.
 
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