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John Manley as UN Uber-Envoy in AFG?

The Bread Guy

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This is, reportedly, what the feds are floating out there - or, at least, "sources" are, anyway.  Mods, feel free to shift to "Canadian Politics" if you feel it's a better fit.

Shared in accordance with the "fair dealing" provisions, Section 29, of the Copyright Act.

Ottawa proposing Manley as UN boss in Kabul
BRIAN LAGHI, Globe & Mail, 20 Feb 08
Article link - .pdf permalink

The federal government is floating the name of former Liberal deputy prime minister John Manley as the United Nations' new "super envoy" to co-ordinate aid and reconstruction in Afghanistan.

Sources have told The Globe and Mail that Mr. Manley is being suggested as a replacement for former British politician Paddy Ashdown, who was originally nominated for the job. Mr. Manley is the recent chair of a panel that recommended Canadian troops remain in Afghanistan, but only if NATO is able to come up with 1,000 more troops, as well as helicopters and unmanned aircraft.

Such a move, if successful, would make it doubly difficult for the Canadian government to withdraw from the combat mission, because a pullout would be seen as a humiliation for a country that has one of its own as the special representative. Having a Canadian in such an influential role would also help to sell the mission in Canada, where voters are divided over it.

Sources said that other candidates are in the running, including one from a Scandinavian country.

Mr. Ashdown withdrew from the post last month after opposition from Afghan President Hamid Karzai, who was reportedly concerned that the former British politician would have too much influence in the country. Some Afghan officials have difficulty with the idea of a special representative, saying there is a "negative atmosphere" in the country created around the notion.

Installing Mr. Manley in such a role would also make life difficult for the Liberals, who would be hard-pressed to oppose the mission if one of their own was acting in such an influential role.

Sources said it would be unheard of for the government to have suggested Mr. Manley without the former deputy prime minister's approval.

It was unclear whether the government has broached the idea with the UN. Mr. Manley was unavailable for comment yesterday.

"He would have to give his nod to have his name floated," said a source.

Typically, an appointment of this type would be forwarded to the Canadian ambassador and staff at the United Nations, who would then attempt to get the ear of Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon. The UN Security Council would also be asked to weigh in.

If the UN is looking for someone with clout, Mr. Manley would be a strong candidate, given that Canada has troops in Kandahar, the country's most dangerous province. But Mr. Manley would also have to be careful to not wield too much influence, lest it appear that Mr. Karzai was being dictated to by foreign powers.

"This isn't like sending a special representative where you're not sure who the sovereign authority is," a source said.

While the envoy would be stationed in Kabul, a good portion of the job would be flying to various world capitals to get countries to fulfill commitments to the rebuilding process. The envoy would also have to work with the military presence in Afghanistan, which is operated by NATO.

An official with Canada's Foreign Affairs Department said yesterday that the individual who ultimately gets the job would have to enjoy the strong support of the Afghan government and the international community.

"There is an urgent need for stronger UN leadership and better co-ordination of the international community in support of the Afghan government," Lisa Monette said in a statement.

"The countries that are carrying the heaviest loads, Canada among them, are obviously eager to see this appointment occur as soon as possible."

Meanwhile, Prime Minister Stephen Harper spoke with Mr. Karzai yesterday to express his sympathies for the recent loss of Afghan lives in a suicide bombing, while Mr. Karzai did the same for injuries sustained by Canadian soldiers in an IED attack Monday.

Mr. Harper also reviewed the Manley panel recommendations with Mr. Karzai.

"The Prime Minister confirmed that he is in contact with NATO allies regarding additional troops and expressed his hope that Parliament will support a motion that would see an extension of Canada's mission to Afghanistan," Sandra Buckler, the Prime Minister's director of communications, said in a statement. "President Karzai reconfirmed his support for the Canadian mission, a message he will carry to NATO in the coming weeks."

 
Not a bad idea....he comes with little to no international baggage, has a straight record, supports the mission....meh, they could do worse.
 
Question is - would he take it if offered?  I'm NOWHERE in his league, but I'd certainly think twice about having to untangle the jurisdictional mess involved in UN/ISAF/EU/US/Coalition stuff in AFG.  Ashdown turned it down in part, I think, because he probably couldn't wield the tools necessary to get all the dogs mushing together int he same direction (not to mention AFG's pres not wanting him).

On the plus side, the AFG pres seems to like a Canadian presence in high places, so it's possible he wouldn't object to someone like Manley.

Now, given the above caveats, how about Lew MacKenzie?  NATO and UN experience, knows how messy it can get....  I'd suggest Rick Hillier, but don't know if he wants to take on that level of political wrestling at this point in his career.
 
Appointing John Manley will also deny him to the LPC, something that might be a secondary objective of the current government, or a nice effect, anyway.
 
ParaMedTech said:
Appointing John Manley will also deny him to the LPC, something that might be a secondary objective of the current government, or a nice effect, anyway.

Especially handy in the event of an election. 

Thinking even more like Machiavelli, this could also be a way to give a potential future Liberal leadership candidate a job that can very easily blow up in his face, or keep in outta country during any future Liberal leadership process -- both interesting ways to neutralize the individual as well.
 
Given Mr Manley's stand on Afghanistan, I do not see him "welcomed" with open arms by Mr Dion.  More likely to receive a shotgun weilding reception committee.

All in all, I think he'd do fairly well - posing as the "honest broker"
 
In the words of Jim Hacker in "Yes, Minister", "The first rule of politics: never believe anything until it's been officially denied"....  ;D

Shared in accordance with the "fair dealing" provisions, Section 29, of the Copyright Act.

Manley denies Canada proposing him as UN envoy in Afghanistan
Agence France Presse, 20 Feb 08
Article link

OTTAWA (AFP) — Former Canadian deputy prime minister John Manley denied Wednesday media reports suggesting the government is proposing him as the new UN envoy to coordinate aid and reconstruction in Afghanistan.

Earlier, the daily Globe and Mail, citing unnamed sources, said the Conservative government is floating the name of Manley, of the opposition Liberal Party, as a replacement for British diplomat Paddy Ashdown, whose nomination to the UN post was rejected by Afghan President Hamid Karzai.

However, Manley told AFP through his law offices: "I am not a candidate and I have not consented to my government advocating for me to take on this responsibility."

Manley recently headed a panel of experts who recommended that Canada prolong its 2,500-strong military mission in Afghanistan beyond February 2009 only if NATO deploys 1,000 troop reinforcements, helicopters and drones.

The Globe and Mail said Manley's nomination would make it more difficult for Canada to withdraw its troops, saying it would be "a humiliation for a country that has one of its own as the special representative."

The Liberal Party would also be hard pressed to oppose the mission if one of their members held the UN post, the Canadian newspaper said.

Canada's parliament is expected to vote in March whether to extend its combat mission in the volatile south to 2011. If it fails to pass its motion, the minority Conservative government would fall, resulting in snap elections -- the third ballot in four years.

Other candidates for the UN post, including one from a Scandinavian country, are in the running for the post which had been held until recently by the German Tom Koenigs, the Globe and Mail said.

 
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